The Formula of EWS-USD (Early Warning System-Urban Social Disaster)

Abstract

This paper seeks to explain the tools for the Early Warning System (EWS) specifically on Urban Social Disaster (USD). The development of this tool, known as EWS-USD, is related to the competence of author who has focused on the science of urban design, especially about the study of urban disaster from the aspect of social environment. The background of the research is related to the vulnerability of cities in Indonesia, especially in the city of Solo, to the urban social disaster. Previous research has found the root causes of USD, the trigger factors of USD, the types of city spaces that are prone to USD, as well as alternative USD treatment. Furthermore, in order to deepen the study of USD, this competency research focuses on the development of EWS-USD tools, a kind of city level stethoscope. The main finding of this research is EWS-USD formula, which is the result number of three sums of 4 EWS-USD variables, namely: index of economic disparity (IED), index of leadership crisis (ILC), index of hypocrite culture (IHC) and element of trigger’s disaster (ETD). This formula could be written as: Y=3(IED+ILC+IHC) +ETD. This study uses a rationalistic paradigm, while the research method uses historical-interpretative. The main purpose of this research is to assist the government (Solo City Government) and institutions (National Disaster Management Agency and Regional Disaster Management Agency) in overcoming the social disaster of the city, with a strategy focusing on prevention scopes. The next research will be focused on software-hardware of EWS-USD. With this effort, it is expected that the global agenda of the city, namely sustainable city, becomes easier to be realized.